STAGEONE GTM SYSTEMS WORKING DOCUMENT
NO. 04 OF 06

EIGHT PAGES
ONE WORKSHEET

The Win
Loss Read

Build an ideal customer profile out of your own record instead of a workshop.

THE WIN LOSS READ STAGEONE GTM

01

THE
PROBLEM

Your profile was built from opinion, not from evidence

Most ideal customer profiles are produced in a workshop, contain a persona with a stock photograph, and are never opened again by anybody who has to make a call.

The format is not the problem. The input was. Sales believes one segment, marketing believes another, product believes a third, and the workshop resolves it by averaging the three. What comes out is a profile that nobody actually wins with.

Your closed-won and closed-lost record already contains the answer. It has simply never been read as a dataset.

02

You are not looking for what your customers have in common. You are looking for what your winners have that your losers do not.

THE PULL FORTY DEALS, ONE SHEET

02

Twenty won, twenty lost, most recent first. The discipline is in what you leave out.

Eight columns, and not a ninth

COLUMN WHY IT EARNS ITS PLACE
Industry, sub-verticalUsually too crude on its own, but it is the filter everyone starts with. Test it, then move on.
Revenue, headcountThe same. Check whether it separates before you build a target list on it.
Business modelCorporate or franchised, single or multi-site, direct or channel. Often where the real signal lives.
Buyer, and signerFrequently different people. The distance between them predicts your cycle length.
How it startedInbound, referral, outbound, partner. Source correlates with win rate more than teams expect.
Cycle, deal sizeOutliers in either direction are worth reading individually rather than averaging away.
Trigger in 12 monthsNew exec, funding, acquisition, incident, new locations. The most under-recorded and most predictive column here.
Still a customer?A closed-won that churned in eleven months is not a win. It is a lesson.

03

EXPECT

Three separating attributes. Occasionally four. If you find nine, you have found noise rather than a profile.

FIG. 02 THE SEPARATION TEST

READ IT LIKE THIS

An attribute that separates puts your wins on one side and your losses on the other. An attribute that does not is a description, not a filter.

One of these is a profile. Two of them are noise.

SEPARATES DOES NOT SEPARATE DOES NOT SEPARATE EMPTY MULTI-SITE OPERATOR COMPANY HEADCOUNT INDUSTRY VERTICAL Clean split. Build on it. Randomly mixed. Discard. Everyone clusters. Useless. ● WON ○ LOST

04

THE TRAP

Panel three is the one that fools people. Every customer is in that vertical, so it feels like a finding. It only tells you where you have been selling.

THE RUBRIC FIT IS STRUCTURAL / SIGNAL IS SITUATIONAL

03

Most companies track fit and ignore signal, then wonder why timing always feels wrong.

Scoreable in under two minutes

DIMENSION WHAT YOU ARE MEASURING WEIGHT
Structural painDoes the problem you solve exist at their stage and model30
Firmographic fitRevenue band, headcount, geography, growth rate25
AccessWhether you can reach the economic buyer at all15
Technographic fitSystems already in place that you complement or replace15
Timing signalA trigger inside the last ninety days15

THEN TIER

Tier 1 · top 10%

Full research, multi-threaded, human-led. Twenty-five to forty accounts per rep, by name.

Tier 2 · next 30%

Insight-level personalisation, lighter touch. Run as a programme, not by name.

Tier 3 · the rest

Exists to catch timing, never to force it. Worked only when a signal fires.

04

Tier 1 gets worked whether or not a signal fired. Tier 3 only when one does. Most teams invert this, then wonder why their best-fit accounts went untouched for three quarters.

THE INTERVIEWS FIVE WINS / FIVE LOSSES

04

Twenty minutes each. Never run by the rep who owned the deal.

Ten calls that beat any dataset

The sheet tells you what correlates. Only the interviews tell you why.

ONE

What was happening in the business that made you look at this at all?

TWO

Who else was involved, and what did each of them care about?

THREE

What nearly stopped it?

FOUR

What did we say that mattered, and what did we say that you ignored?

FIVE

If you had chosen differently, what would have made the difference?

ON FIVE

The most valuable question and the least asked. In a loss it gives you the real reason rather than the polite one. In a win it tells you which part of your pitch was load-bearing.

Record the answer in the buyer's own words. A reason code is a category. A sentence is evidence, and it will still be useful in a year.

05

Ten interviews is a day and a half of work. It is the highest-return day and a half available to a revenue leader.

WORKSHEET FILL THIS IN BY HAND

05

Present in most wins. Absent in most losses.

Your three attributes

Write each as something a rep could check in two minutes, rather than judge over the course of a call.

ONE

HOW A REP VERIFIES IT

TWO

HOW A REP VERIFIES IT

THREE

HOW A REP VERIFIES IT

STOP

What we will stop targeting as a result

06

The last box is what makes this real. A profile that removes nothing from your target list has not been applied. It has been filed.

THE OTHER FIVE STAGEONEGTM.COM

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The rest of the library

The Stage Definition Rewrite

OPERATIONS

The Ramp Plan

TEAM

The Five Questions

ENABLEMENT

The Expansion Motion

EXPANSION

The Outbound Playbook

STRATEGY

If you run this read yourself and never contact me, that is a good outcome.

WRITTEN BY

Josh Dempsey

CONTACT

josh@stageonegtm.com

EDITION

First, 2026